Scientific and technical journal

«Oilfield engineering»

ISSN 0207-2351

Oilfield engineering
A methodology of probabilistic geological-technological modeling to form a deposits development strategy

UDC: 622.279.23/.4.001.57
DOI: 10.33285/0207-2351-2023-4(652)-15-20

Authors:

LITVINTSEVA ELIZAVETA V.1,
SANNIKOV IVAN N.1,
POLYAKOV DMITRY V.2
1 LUKOIL-Engineering, Moscow, Russia
2 National University of Oil and Gas "Gubkin University", Moscow, Russia

Keywords: uncertainties, risks, probabilistic geological-technological model, field development designing, statistical experiment

Annotation:

The degree of oil and gas fields’ exploration maturity mostly influences project technical-economic indicators when designing fields’ development. The greatest uncertainty of costs at the project initial phases can be reduced to the final investment decision due to the maximum scientific and engineering study. Geological and development uncertainties and risks that could influence fields’ development progress should be fully taken into account when forecasting technological indicators. The process of development of probabilistic geological-technological models and their application conditions for fields development strategy are described in the article.

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