«Automation and Informatization of the fuel and energy complex»

A set of computer programs for quantitative analysis of the probability of oil and gas equipment failure

UDC: 519.2+681.5
DOI: 10.33285/2782-604X-2022-9(590)-29-38

Authors:

¹ TEKHDIAGNOSTIKA, Orenburg, Russia

Keywords: probabilistic and statistical analysis, software, equipment operational life-time, probability of failure, technical condition parameter, limited state, limited state criteria

Annotation:

The article considers the relevance and significance of the use of probabilistic-statistical methods which are applied to analyze parameters and criteria of technical state and patterns of their changes when assessing operational life-time of oil and gas equipment till it reaches the limiting state or the probability of its reaching it. The task of selecting and testing a set of common available computer programs that allow engineers operating hazardous production oil and gas facilities to perform probabilistic statistical analysis of the time and probability of reaching the limiting state of the equipment during these objects operation by their actual technical state in the probabilistic formulation of the problem of preventing failures of the equipment has been put forward and solved. A set of common available computer programs consists of spreadsheets of office software packages, computer algebra and mathematical analysis systems, specialized software products for statistical analysis and libraries of mathematical functions for specialized and universal programming languages.

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