Application of a dynamic model of inter-branch balance to assess macroeconomic consequences from the implementation of large projects and gas motorization programs
UDC: 330.44:338.27
DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2022-1(205)-34-40
Authors:
KHATKOV VITALY YU.
1,
IVANOV ALEKSANDR V.2,
SARKISOV AVEDIK S.3
1 PJSC "Gazprom", Moscow, Russian Federation
2 Center for Strategy and Improvement of Transport Complex Management, Moscow, Russian Federation
3 National University of Oil and Gas "Gubkin University", Moscow, Russian Federation
Keywords: alternative motor fuels, use of natural gas, natural gas vehicles, macroeconomic analysis
Annotation:
The paper considers the use of a linear dynamic input-output model with discrete time to evaluate the macroeconomic efficiency of large projects and programs of natural gas as a motor fuel for motor transport. Using this method, we determined GDP growth, investment multipliers, and efficiency coefficients for stimulating GDP growth for a large state gas motorization program. Calculations have shown a fairly high macroeconomic efficiency of investments in gas market development programs and their economic incentives.
Bibliography:
1. Bazovye tablitsy "zatraty-vypusk" Rossiyskoy Federatsii za 2016. – URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/baz-tzv-2016.xlsx
2. Ivanov A.V., Karpel' E.M., Sarkisov A.S. Strategicheskie problemy ispol'zovaniya prirodnogo gaza v kachestve motornogo topliva. – M.: Izd. tsentr RGU nefti i gaza im. I.M. Gubkina, 2011. – 94 s.
3. Otsenka korporativnoy i ekonomicheskoy (obshchestvennoy) effektivnosti proektov po realizatsii prirodnogo gaza v kachestve motornogo topliva na avtotransporte / V.D. Zubareva, A.V. Ivanov, E.M. Karpel', A.S. Sarkisov // Neft', gaz i biznes. – 2014. – № 4. – S. 14–21.
4. Kommentariy k bazovym tablitsam "zatraty-vypusk" za 2016 god. – URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/comment-tzv-2016.htm
5. Metody ekonomicheskoy otsenki effektivnosti razvitiya gazovoy promyshlennosti / E.E. Karpel', V.D. Zubareva, A.V. Ivanov [i dr.]; pod red. V.D. Zubarevoy. – M.: Neft' i gaz, 2000. – 105 s.
6. Ob utverzhdenii gosudarstvennoy programmy Rossiyskoy Federatsii "Razvitie energetiki": postanovlenie Pravitel'stva RF ot 15 apr. 2014 g. № 321.
7. Ob informatsii o mezhotraslevykh svyazyakh i strukturnykh proportsiyakh ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Federatsii: rasporyazhenie Pravitel'stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 14 fevr. 2009 g. № 201-p.
8. Federal'noe statisticheskoe nablyudenie "zatraty-vypusk". – URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/zatr-vp
9. Khat'kov V.Yu., Ivanov A.V., Sarkisov A.S. Otsenka makroekonomicheskikh posledstviy ot realizatsii krupnykh proektov i programm ispol'zovaniya prirodnogo gaza v kachestve motornogo topliva v osnovnykh segmentakh rossiyskogo avtotransportnogo rynka // Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom. – 2017. – № 11. – S. 26–32.
Back to issue