Scientific and economic journal

«Problems of economics and management of oil and gas complex»

ISSN 1999-6942

Problems of economics and management of oil and gas complex
A project approach to assessing the competitiveness of Russian gas supply to China

UDC: 339.137.2
DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2023-9(225)-39-45

Authors:

KRAINOVA ELEONORA A.1,
KHOTIMSKIY KIRILL V.1

1 National University of Oil and Gas "Gubkin University", Moscow, Russia

Keywords: transformation, diversification of export directions, China, Russia, natural gas, LNG, competitiveness, project approach, factor analysis, development strategy

Annotation:

China is one of the largest gas consumers in the world. Due to the lack of opportunities to satisfy domestic gas consumption on account of its own production, the country is forced to annually increase the volume of this energy resource import. In turn, the current global situation and the change of gas market conditions allow Russia to diversify export directions, primarily to the east, where China is the largest and the most strategically important potential gas market, which also needs to diversify sources of energy supplies to the country. To understand what share Russian gas can take at the Chinese market, the competitiveness of options for Russian gas supplies to China was analyzed and a formula for assessing the competitiveness of gas supplies, both pipeline and LNG, with different production capacities, was proposed.

Bibliography:

1. Novaya diversifikatsiya na rynkakh gaza / A. Golyashev, A. Kurdin, A. Kolomiets [i dr.] // Energeticheskie trendy. – M.: Analit. tsentr pri Pravitel'stve Rossiyskoy Federatsii, 2022. – Vyp. 107. – 16 s. – URL: https://ac.gov.ru/uploads/2-Publications/energo/2022/Energo_107.pdf (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
2. Prognoz razvitiya energetiki mira i Rossii 2019 / pod red. A.A. Makarova, T.A. Mitrovoy, V.A. Kulagina. – M.: INEI RAN – Moskovskaya shk. upravleniya SKOLKOVO, 2019. – 210 s.
3. Khotimskiy K.V. Faktornyy analiz dinamiki sprosa i predlozheniya gaza v Kitae v 2010–2021 gg. // Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom. – 2023. – № 2(218). – S. 63–69. – DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2023-2(218)-63-69
4. Pozdeeva S.N. Sistemnyy podkhod k upravleniyu logisticheskimi riskami // Khronoekonomika. – 2019. – № 7(20). – S. 41–47.
5. BP Statistical Review of World Energy. June 2023. – London, 2023. – 64 p.
6. Gromov A.I. Perspektivy gazovoy otrasli Kitaya: sokhranitsya li "okno" vozmozhnostey dlya rossiyskogo syr'ya? // Energeticheskaya politika. – 2022. – № 1(167). – S. 50–69. – DOI: 10.46920/2409-5516_2022_1167_50
7. Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking Before 2030. – URL: https://en.ndrc.gov.cn/policies/202110/t20211027_1301020.html (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
8. Plan razvitiya gazovogo kompleksa Kitaya v period "13-oy pyatiletki". – URL: http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/gzdt/201701/W020170119369186013264.pdf (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
9. Gazovaya promyshlennost' Kitaya / TsDU TEK. – 2022. – URL: https://www.cdu.ru/tek_russia/articles/3/988/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
10. Kitayskie slantsy / TsDU TEK. – 2022. – URL: https://www.cdu.ru/tek_russia/articles/1/992/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
11. Sayt Glavnogo tamozhennogo upravleniya KNR. – URL: http://www.customs.gov.cn/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
12. Kerzner H. Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling. – 10th Edition. – Hoboken, N.J.: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2009. – xxiv, 1094 p.
13. Kraynova E.A. Proektnyy menedzhment: metodologiya i praktika upravleniya neftegazovymi proektami: ucheb. dlya vuzov / pod red. chl.-korr. RAN E.A. Teleginoy. – M.: Izdat. tsentr RGU nefti i gaza (NIU) im. I.M. Gubkina, 2018. – 312 s.
14. Sayt PAO "Gazprom". – URL: https://www.gazprom.ru/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
15. Sayt PAO "NOVATEK". – URL: https://www.novatek.ru/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
16. Sayt PAO "YaTEK". – URL: https://yatec.ru/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
17. Iutina M.M., Kalamkarova A.A. Konkurentosposobnost' rossiyskikh SPG-proektov // Problemy ekonomiki i upravleniya neftegazovym kompleksom. – 2020. – № 6(186). – S. 12–20. – DOI: 10.33285/1999-6942-2020-6(186)-12-20
18. Tikhonov S. Pochemu Kitay tyanet s kontraktom na postavki gaza po "Sile Sibiri-2" // Rossiyskaya gazeta. – 2022. – № 210(8858) (20 sent.). – S. 2. – URL: https://rg.ru/2022/09/19/truba-na-nervah.html (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).
19. Sayt IHSMarkit. – URL: https://news.ihsmarkit.com/ (data obrashcheniya 18.07.2023).